592 Comments
User's avatar
Sharon L. Boyes-Schiller's avatar

Thank you for bringing us back to the story of Portugal, it is very relevant to where we are today in Europe. As an American living in Europe most of my adult life (I’m 67 and have lived in Europe during the Cold War for several years (in West Berlin), and the last 30 years in the Netherlands) — I believe that Europe has had it’s awakening last Friday and I do believe Europeans are going to step up, lead, and provide what Ukraine needs to have its sovereignty and a just peace - and push back on Putin so that he stays inside his own border. Worried at the moment for Moldova if Europe doesn’t in fact step up. The meeting in London yesterday has consequential outcomes, I believe.

Expand full comment
Denyse Whillier's avatar

I agree that the meeting in London yesterday is going to have consequential outcomes. Europe, the UK and Canada are now going to flex their strength.

Expand full comment
NubbyShober's avatar

Putin's aggression has so far resulted in Finland and Sweden joining NATO. Something very unwelcome and unexpected.

His efforts through Trump to have the US dump Ukraine, and more closely align itself with Russian/Chinese interests is also a big fail IF--and only IF--the EU steps up. This is Europe's moment, and so far they seem to really waking up to moving out from under the US geopolitical shadow.

Trump's actions over the past few weeks have made it abundantly clear that regarding Russia he's not just a "useful idiot", but a full-blown KGB (FSB) intelligence thrall, and has been since the '80's or '90's. He is--and by extension his party, and its official mouthpiece FOX News--traitorous scum, harming both our national security and prosperity for the benefit of the Russo-Chinese alliance.

Expand full comment
Ponti Min's avatar

> regarding Russia he's not just a "useful idiot", but a full-blown KGB (FSB) intelligence thrall, and has been since the '80's or '90's

then why wasn't he like this during his first term?

Expand full comment
George Carty's avatar

Perhaps because he hadn't yet had the opportunity to totally MAGAfy the GOP?

Expand full comment
Linda carruthers's avatar

Because he had a lot of ‘traditional ‘ republicans around him in his Cabinet and the WH. Not this time.

Expand full comment
Denyse Whillier's avatar

Whatever Trump is - and the list is long - my take is the implications go far deeper in that the US is now in lockstep with Russia's vision. This means that the EU has no option but to step up and like you say step out from under the US geopolitical shadow. I read Sunday's events as a clear statement of intent for the EU, UK and Canada.

Expand full comment
Public Servant's avatar

Slava Ukraini! Zelensky is the leader of the free world now and Europe must support him. I wrote a poem called freedom’s light to inspire all democracy defenders: https://democracydefender2025.substack.com/p/zelensky-ukraine-freedoms-light

Expand full comment
Terence J. Ollerhead's avatar

I believe Krugman and your comment begs the question: What happens to the US and its military and financial might and defence industries in this new world? All redirected to offense? You seem to assume the US will just stand by. I can't see that, nor see the military industrial complex just rolling over.

Expand full comment
Joseph Sandor's avatar

Raytheon, et al can just as easily sell to the EU as the USA

Expand full comment
George Patterson's avatar

Every large military system (such as F-16s, anti-aircraft systems, etc.) that we "sell" to a foreign country comes with conditions. With Trump in power, rest assured that he will not allow those items to be used to support Ukraine. Europe will have to rely on locally manufactured military gear, such as the Eurofighter. Since it appears that drones are the big item these days, European nations may be at something of a disadvantage.

Expand full comment
John Laver's avatar

Allies' purchases of US weaponry help us significantly defray their enormous development costs. Refusing to sell to our allies/former NATO allies would hurt us and drive Europeans to develop their own advanced systems - which they're quite capable of.

Expand full comment
Phil's avatar

European arms manufactures are seeing their stocks go through the roof while US arms manufactures are dropping.

Everyone sees where this is headed.

Expand full comment
NubbyShober's avatar

This. Most definitely, this.

We'll see how our own Military-Industrial complex--which has historically been a GOP-centric phenomenon--reacts to Trump/GOP cutting them out of tens, or even hundreds of billions of NATO-based business. Advanced weapons systems are one of our top exports, and Europe our top customer. Perhaps the stupidest move yet from a supposedly very stable financial genius.

Expand full comment
George Patterson's avatar

We're not talking about the US refusing to sell to other countries. We're really talking about it being in other countries' best interests to refuse to buy from the US and develop their own.

Expand full comment
NubbyShober's avatar

Good for the EU, but bad for our economy. And bad for you if you live in an area with defense factories.

You get to watch your local tax base and property values decline, and your schools lose funding.

Expand full comment
Will Liley's avatar

George, it’s both. The acid test is whether Trump tries to impose user limitations on Europeans’ U.S. arms purchases; remember, Biden did so - until the last moment he wouldn’t allow Ukraine to use ATACMs inside Russia.

Expand full comment
Potter's avatar

This takes time... the Euros are in a hurry and might need to buy from us.. and Transactional Trump will have to weigh this and the effects of all else he impulsively is doing for revenge and retribution.

Expand full comment
Elizabeth McIlvaine's avatar

In the long run that makes sense but not in the short run.

Expand full comment
Pat H's avatar

There are a lot of people highlighting the Ukrainians actual advantage in building drones...at a much faster rate than the Western world can. Necessity is the mother of invention? In today's more technologically advanced, remote war this is one case where they (Ukraine/EU) may have an advantage vs the US?

Expand full comment
Merry Foster's avatar

Good points. I believe the Ukrainian drone industry has made huge strides, and for face to face encounters with the Russians, as well as the occasional long range drone that they have been using to blow up infrastructure, they are leagues ahead of anyone else so cash donations, or perhaps setting up drone factories in Europe wuld be the best bet.

However, the Ukrainians will need air defence and EW systems, a substitute for Starlink, and possibly long range ballistic capability. Can European countries help with this? If not, they really do need to develop those capabilities for their own defence as well as Ukraine's because the US is an unreliable partner.

Expand full comment
Elizabeth McIlvaine's avatar

Ukraine has the capacity to manufacture a the drones, a read a million last year, if they have the money

Expand full comment
George Patterson's avatar

Where do the parts come from? Hopefully not the US.

Expand full comment
Ponti Min's avatar

mostly the far east i imagine

Expand full comment
Jim Brown's avatar

Do you really think he's that smart? Nothing I've seen so far suggests that he's mentally above the level of idiot.

Expand full comment
Daniel Doyle's avatar

No. All its USA contracts are for the USA and require Federal permission to sell to any other country.

Expand full comment
NubbyShober's avatar

Pretty much EVERY joint weapons system--like the F-16 fighter--used by our soon to be former NATO allies has a substantial portion of US-made components.

Hundreds of billions--ultimately trillions--of US defense exports are about to go bye-bye thanks to Trump/GOP. Better hope you don't live in an area or state with lots of defense plants.

Or better yet, sell your house now before your local economy implodes.

Expand full comment
Elizabeth McIlvaine's avatar

Can Congress give the permission or is it up to the President?

Expand full comment
Long Name's avatar

They could if the EU would be buying. Remember what happened in Congress last year with funds and weapons for Oekraine? Eu is not going to set itself up to be in that situation (hopefully).

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

The regime change has happened so rapidly that Europe probably has time to prepare before we bring our military might against them. I can't see our military doing an about face and bombing London on Musk/Trump/Vance say so. They'll start out slow, attacking Panama and Greenland, maybe taking some swipes at Mexico.

The new regime is taking an ax to our financial might. The financial boys have been thrilled at the thought of tax cuts and wiping out regulation, but reality might be starting to bite. Business needs stability and consistent rules. The free for all and open blundering, plundering of Musk has got to have legit business shaking in their boots.

So far they've all been hiding or crawling like whipped dogs licking Trump/Musk hands.

Legit business has also got to be afraid of the destruction of our financial plumbing. Crypto is creeping in and infiltrating financial institutions.

Expand full comment
Lois Henry's avatar

Will we bear arms for Putin’s Russian land grab?

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

Over my cold cadaver. No way in hell will that happen.

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

I don't think so. I think it's too far of a stretch right now. In a couple of years, probably, though we will probably in the middle of our own land grabs.

Expand full comment
George Patterson's avatar

We already are. Panama, Canada, Greenland, the Gaza strip.

Expand full comment
NubbyShober's avatar

Not Greenland. It's part of Denmark. A military takeover would trigger a war with NATO.

Expand full comment
Terence J. Ollerhead's avatar

Canada is a part of NATO. So wouldn't an invasion of Canada trigger a war with NATO?

Expand full comment
George Patterson's avatar

I agree, but I think Trump believes that NATO is a paper tiger and will fold.

Expand full comment
Joanna Weinberger's avatar

The women removed from US military by Hegseth will be free to enlist with Ursula von der Leyen. US will be there in spirit.

Expand full comment
Rex Page (Left Coast)'s avatar

The scary part is that there is no simple answer to your question. It appears more and more that Mao answered correctly when Kissinger asked his opinion of the French Revolution

Expand full comment
Joseph Sandor's avatar

A hard way to get to a silver lining - no doubt Trump will take credit.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

I wouldn't put it past him.

Expand full comment
sotoportego's avatar

Yes. Europe can and will step up...there are strong leaders in some of the key places, and they understand the existential risk very clearly.

Expand full comment
PopTitty's avatar

Putin's argument is that NATO is being put on his own border. NATO hates Putin. No leader will tolerate such a hostile entity on its border. We crossed his redlines in violation of a pact Papa Bush and Gorbachev made together. We didn't tolerate this with Cuba in 1962. But we expect him to? That's arrogance, and dangerously naive.

Without the US Putin isn't going near Europe. His army cannot even capture a few villages on his border months after fighting. He's going to take Moldova? Paris? London?

It'd be suicide.

Unless Trump helps him . . .

Expand full comment
NubbyShober's avatar

Trump/GOP is already fully doing Putin's bidding. Our recent UN vote; accusing Ukraine of attacking Russia; cutting off all US aid for *seven* months in 2025--and ending it completely in 2025; endlessly pitching via FOX News and RW media to conservative voters that Ukraine & NATO are bad and Russia is good.

And there was NO formal agreement with Gorbachov about not accepting any former Warsaw Pact countries into NATO. After 1989, Poland, the Baltics, etc. literally BEGGED for NATO membership. And got it. Because they knew that without Title 5 NATO protection, that Putin would be doing to them EXACTLY what he started against Ukraine beginning in 2014.

Expand full comment
Will Liley's avatar

Absolutely right Nubby. This whole “NATO reneged” argument is more Putin misdirection, now being regurgitated by Trump and his poodles. And anyway, NATO is a DEFENSIVE alliance - it is no threat to Russia and it’s already on putin’s border in the Baltic states (and now in Finland).

Expand full comment
NubbyShober's avatar

All true. But Putin loathes NATO precisely because even without Article 5 US involvement he cannot pick off Poland or any of the Baltics. Now that the EU is poised to up their collective defense spending for a robust post-US future, it's gonna really burn his ass.

Who knows, maybe some of his KGB pals from the old days--now senior military, GRU & FSB officers--will realize he's fucked Russia up enough already and needs to personally experience some Tall Building Syndrome.

Expand full comment
PopTitty's avatar

NATO was defensive. Now it is very offensive. The whole Iraq war was a NATO effort.

If NATO is to be defensive it should understand that if you violate redlines crap will happen. That's an offensive maneuver.

Expand full comment
Kenneth Almquist's avatar

The 2003 Iraq war was fought between Iraq and a “coalition of the willing” assembled by George W. Bush. NATO was not involved.

Expand full comment
PopTitty's avatar

I'm not a fan of Putin. But it's not hard to see why he did what he did. The agreement Bush/Gorby had was that the US could take back Germany in exchange for NATO staying out of Ukraine (for reasons above). Clinton immediately violated that agreement and it's been dangerous since.

Look, none of this is difficult. Any leader regardless of what you think of them will respond if an enemy is on their border. You can do this with powerless dictatorship in South America. but Russia has a nuclear arsenal.

That's a big gamble...

Expand full comment
Ponti Min's avatar

> Putin's argument is that NATO is being put on his own border.

You know under which Russian leader the most countries joined NATO? yes, Putin. So if Putin wants to know who's responsible for NATO expansion, all he has to do is look in the mirror.

> We crossed his redlines

Fuck Putin and fuck his redlines. He can shove them where the sun doesn't shine.

Expand full comment
Jane Hill's avatar

Trump accused Zelenskiy of flirting with WWIII. I'm pretty sure suddenly aligning the nation that was the accepted (former) "leader of the free world" with a ruthless Russian dictator takes the cake on that one.

Expand full comment
LiverpoolFCfan's avatar

Trump's inane declarations are almost always projection or confession.

Expand full comment
Anne H's avatar

Or confusion.

Expand full comment
Marge Wherley's avatar

The man has dementia. It will only get worse.

Expand full comment
Miles vel Day's avatar

The White House has successfully played off Trump's performance on Friday as a "strategy" and of course the press (and the liberals who misguidedly trust them) bought it hook, line and sinker. But Trump did not want that Oval Office meeting to go the way it did. Trump just did what people with failing mental health do when they get tired which was lose all his inhibition.

It was absolutely a kind of "senior moment," but of course if Fox News calls it a brilliant strategy then the New York Times has to call it a flawed strategy, and not "an embarrassing meltdown."

BTW I listened to the whole press conference... it is insane how much Trump rambles. In the 40 minutes of the press conference before the blowup, he probably spoke for 25 minutes and said 5 minutes worth of things, just rambling and repeating himself.

Expand full comment
Marge Wherley's avatar

I agree totally. The man has dementia and has lost the ability to control his emotions or verbiage. His prefrontal cortex is overridden by amygdala-incited fear and anger. His speech patterns would be recognized by anyone who observed a friend or relative’s decent into dementia. It doesn’t get better. He will ultimately make so little sense that the real powers will start keeping him out of the public eye. How many days has he spent on the golf course since being sworn in?

Expand full comment
Ponti Min's avatar

The good thing about the UK system is that grossly incompetent leaders can be got rid off quickly (Truss lasted 49 days).

Trump wouldn't last a moment at PMQs. Nor would've Biden.

Expand full comment
Will Liley's avatar

Unfortunately, probably not. Thought like El Cid his handlers will keep him in the saddle even if he’s Gaga…or dead.

Expand full comment
Deb Pierce's avatar

Liverpool, you are so right.

Expand full comment
Cissna, Ken's avatar

The leader of the free world was in that meeting in tge oval yesterday, but it wasn’t the US President.

Expand full comment
Thomas's avatar

Trump's foreign policy is being set by too-online right-wing influencers like Jack Posobiec, who think the way to stop World War III is to have the U.S. create a new global order where nuclear-armed nations align with one another to bully non-nuclear nations.

Expand full comment
Miles vel Day's avatar

We're already fighting WWIII. It's just been -outside of the Ukraine war - pretty civilized up to this point, and might remain so. (And even the Ukraine war is a tea party compared to WWII, in terms of death and destruction.) It's the same ideological struggle. I think the same side will win again, but it will probably be very difficult, just as it was last time. Hopefully it will not require anything like the sacrifice Russia made to beat the Nazis.

Expand full comment
PopTitty's avatar

Trump is half right. It's the US antagonizing Putin through NATO that is bringing us close to terminal war. Poor Zelenskyy is a pawn to the US. Now Trump is blaming Zelenskyy for something we provoked.

Expand full comment
Linda carruthers's avatar

Mummy, why did you make Daddy hit you?

Expand full comment
Dr Hugh D Campbell's avatar

If you had a real argument, you would make it (I suppose). Perhaps this lecture by Dr Gabrielle Krone-Schmalz will provide some further material for your critical faculties?

https://youtu.be/1pZKTbgftHQ

Expand full comment
Linda carruthers's avatar

It’s a viewpoint. One I disagree with. Putin’s penchant for ‘false flag’ operations and brutalist politics is something I recall quite well. The war in Chechnya and the apartment bombings blamed on rebels, together with the deal hammered out between political power and the economic power of the oligarchs in the early 2000s provide a better analysis of the current circumstances in Eastern Europe in my opinion.

Expand full comment
Dr Hugh D Campbell's avatar

It’s not a simply a ‘viewpoint.’ It is the history of what actually happened, largely ignored in western media because up to now, a different narrative has been preferred for propaganda reasons. All you have done is deflect, essentially by indicating that you don’t like the activities of Russia under Putin. Fair enough, but that does not disprove Mearsheimer’s argument in any way.

Just remember, Kennedy threatened to start World War III because Cuba had formed a military alliance with the USSR. American nuclear missiles were already in place in Turkey, right on the Soviet border, but Kennedy deemed it totally impermissible for the USSR to reciprocally place such missiles adjacent to the USA and pushed the world to the brink of thermonuclear war. Do you imagine Trump would tolerate a military alliance between Mexico or Canada and the Russia/China axis? Of course not.

Expand full comment
Linda carruthers's avatar

Frankly I find such ‘hypotheticals’ less illuminating than examination of the situation in front of me. That situation remains the illegal and criminal invasion of Ukraine by a wannabe Stalin, who lacks that dictator’s cunning and real world experience with both revolution and war. Putin is a lame, academic’s version of the real thing. You are not in post WW2 Europe now. You are in the post post Cold War. Fukuyama was right for around 10 years. Now he’s very wrong.

Expand full comment
Dr Hugh D Campbell's avatar

Yes, it is bizarre that the original cause of the conflict simply isn’t mentioned in western mainstream media. For a detailed discussion by John Mearsheimer, see his 2014 paper in Foreign Affairs. Mearsheimer hasn’t changed his mind either.

“Why the Ukraine Crisis Is the West’s Fault: The Liberal Delusions That Provoked Putin”

John J. Mearsheimer

Foreign Affairs 93 No. 5 (September/October 2014), pp. 77-89.

https://www.mearsheimer.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/06/Why-the-Ukraine-Crisis-Is.pdf

Expand full comment
Linda carruthers's avatar

JD Vance and the claque of wannabe revanchists and IR realists supporting him are simply the worst collection of genocidal ghouls this side of Israel. They are all execrable and all of them deserve to live in infamy forever.

Expand full comment
FfsBoise's avatar

Yeah, that, and Vance's accusing NATO leaders of conspiring to destroy democracy:

“People dismissing voters’ concerns, shutting down their media, protects nothing. It is the most surefire way to destroy democracy.”

“Democracy will not survive if their people’s concerns are deemed invalid or even worse not worth being considered.”

You can't make this level of irony up.

Expand full comment
Robert Duane Shelton's avatar

Readers might not know that they can get honest news directly from Europe and Canada free on streaming services via a Roku device or smart TV. Yesterday, I watched BBC coverage of the summit in London that reacted to Trump revealing that he is going over to the dark side. This coverage is becoming more important as American news services bow down to Comrade Krasnov.

Expand full comment
Shauna's avatar

I subscribed to European overlook with Le Monde the English version out of Paris. This let me know unvarnished what Europe thinks, sees and plans. AND Europe still has fact checking AND banned Round Up in their food from the beginning. North America is in a disastrous spot...even Canada as beautiful and ethical as it is...is wound too tightly to the US engine of greed :( :( Europe has always preferred lifestyle over money - imagine that

Expand full comment
Terence J. Ollerhead's avatar

Disagree with your opinion of Canada. It's a parliamentary and a social welfare state. No more tied to the US engine of greed than Germany or Sweden or the Netherlands; maybe less so, but certainly not more so.

Expand full comment
leave my name off's avatar

Maybe she is referring to the drift of Round Up blowing or floating up north into Canada.

Expand full comment
Susannah's avatar

Some years ago I discovered Le Monde - A la une <info@infos.lemonde.fr> -- a newsletter in French that puts "the front page" La Monde headline articles in my inbox every day. "European overlook" may be a related publication. I started reading news from Le Monde to exercise my French language skills, but over the past week I have also read some coverage in English translation to be sure I'm not missing something. I do have access to televised BBC news as well, and I have started looking at it regularly. Americans who understand the history and value of the Atlantic Alliance and the imminent dangers posed by a president who bathes in ignorance and self-aggrandizement need to stay fully informed.

Expand full comment
BTAM Master's avatar

https://www.dutchnews.nl/ is another good source. It's in English.

Expand full comment
Mark Fishaut's avatar

Clearly you have no idea how much genuine rage and disgust there is exploding in the democracy north of the 49th parallel. Canadians have had a long standing chip on their shoulder about being demeaned by BOTH Americans and Brits. Visited the homeland very recently and what I saw and heard was is DIFFERENT. It is true rage .

Expand full comment
Lisa P. Grantham's avatar

I can’t blame Canadians for being enraged. That is a very reasonable response to the threat of being made the 51st state.

Expand full comment
sharon f's avatar

I live in the US just south of the Canadian border. Some I know in Canada were at first unalarmed by the 2024 election here. But no more. Even the least politically engaged are getting nervous, and are very disappointed.

Expand full comment
Patience's avatar

Demeaned by Brits??

Expand full comment
Edwin Callahan's avatar

Once a colony, always a colony. The Brits can’t help it; it’s almost genetic.

Expand full comment
Patience's avatar

I've been thinking about what you wrote. I used to be a Brit. Tbqh, I'm not sure most of my countrymen are particularly aware of anything much outside their own shores, barring perhaps stereotyped ideas of the French and the Germans. Their apparent disdain is for all not-Brits, and is based on ignorance and incuriosity. I don't believe that Canadians are collectively chosen as a target for this.

Expand full comment
Thomas's avatar

The U.S. mainstream media has certainly turned into a pile of crap, but news orgs in other countries that aren't subject to the same economic and political pressures are still doing their jobs, thankfully.

Expand full comment
Pam Birkenfeld's avatar

Guardian is great, subscribe!

Expand full comment
RevZafod's avatar

Done!

Expand full comment
sharon f's avatar

There is a healthy resurgence of independent media happening in the US. Pro Publica is one example. MSNBC is trying hard on the tv side, but who knows how it will fare. The effects of Corporate control is on full display. America has relaxed many good laws that once kept the press relatively free. The US can now be used as an example of the “drift” (to borrow a military term) which takes place when the people are lulled into ceasing to be vigilant.

Expand full comment
RevZafod's avatar

Disagree on MSNBC, which fired all it's black show hosts.

Expand full comment
sharon f's avatar

Yep- that’s bad. The remaining hosts made a point on air about how wrong that is. They’ve been pulled off the NBC part of the company, and still have editorial control, but we’ll see.

Expand full comment
Teresa's avatar

Thank you. I hadn’t thought of that.

Expand full comment
David Sandahl's avatar

Thanks, Paul. My late uncle dropped out of Wesleyan and memorized the eye chart to join the Army in 1942. He wound up interrogating Nazi officers and collaborators. It is important now to remember what Americans did to defeat fascism then and what it means if we don't fight now.

Expand full comment
sharon f's avatar

My husband and I both have ancestors who fought in every war the US has been in order to protect democracy. They did not sacrifice to one day hand America over to a fascist dictator.

Expand full comment
Terence J. Ollerhead's avatar

Do Americans have any plans about what to do with this realignment with oligarchies? Do Americans now just shrug and allow its former allies to be attacked, financially, militarily, or both? Something unattributed I came across last night: 'When you think of Nazi Germany, the good Germans that didn’t vote for Hitler aren’t the first to come to mind. The same goes for the US or Russia. Don’t want to be represented by evil? This is your turn to show what you would have done under Nazi rule.'

Expand full comment
Tim's avatar

Terence,

After attending my Representative's Town Hall yesterday - nothing is going to be done until the mid-terms. Democrats are circling the wagons around Medicaid and Social Security (the Jefferies plan,) but there is no minority power to disrupt the destruction of Federal Infrastructure. We need enforcement through the courts, but to your point, now is the time for direct action. I'm looking at what I can do. I'm tired of making calls to my Democratic Reps and Senators. The White House takes calls Tuesday thru Thursday 11-3PM EST. That is not working or enough given the threat we face with an asset in office.

I hear your call. I'm looking. I'm trying to find better and more effective voice and action.

God Bless America.

Tim

Expand full comment
Terence J. Ollerhead's avatar

Thank you Tim for your response. Many astute observers think that, given this already precipitous trajectory, there might not be any midterms. Ever. But I am puzzled why there aren't demonstrations in the major cities at least, as Europeans - particularly the Germans and French - seem to do with results! Tens of thousands, not a few desultory though brave souls on a corner somewhere.

Expand full comment
Ricardo Stone's avatar

There have been demonstrations, but they are not being covered by the media outlets run by oligarchs.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

At least not until a few Molotov cocktails hit the windows.

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

I think passive resistance is the best option at this point. Molotov cocktails would be the excuse to escalate to martial law and state sponsored terrorism. Trump wanted the military to fire on protesters in his first term.

I hope the military holds onto it's institutional knowledge and commitments.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

Oh I agree. But he might do that anyway, even against peaceful protesters. If he does, I say, we should be ready for it and fight back.

I guess I'll find out tomorrow at the 50501 protest:

https://events.pol-rev.com/tag/50501%203%2F4

Expand full comment
Vefessh's avatar

Nonviolent resistance is more successful, in general, because people who aren't physically capable of fighting can participate. (Those more able-bodied can take to the leading or side edges of the demonstration, where contact with law enforcement is most likely.)

Expand full comment
Remilia Pasinski's avatar

There needs to be a loss of life for progress.

Expand full comment
Marge Wherley's avatar

And then Trump gets his wish and declares martial law.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

He might do that anyway.

Expand full comment
Tim's avatar
Mar 3Edited

Terence,

Elections are run by the States. We will have elections. It will be interesting if some states refuse to have elections. I doubt that will happen, but I didn't see what I am seeing now as possible a month ago.

I don't need to tell you what has been going on and how we got here. I agree; we need more outcry and action. It starts with taking care of the least among us. The misinformation is insidious, sinister, and vile. But we will have elections in Oregon at least. No elections - no representation. I'd prefer some states to not have them if that is their choice.

Time to chop and carry.

Best to you,

Tim

Expand full comment
Terence J. Ollerhead's avatar

Thanks again, Tim. If only blue states hold elections, what force will it have in Washington? Will the red state representatives just carry on? Will the seats be declared vacant? If so, by whom? And what effect will a national state of emergency and election cancellation have on the states? Your system is so byzantine, no wonder it has foundered in the 21st century.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

That's not an easy question to answer, but I think it's a pretty good bet that such an action would trigger some pretty massive rioting, if not start an out and out civil war.

Expand full comment
Edwin Callahan's avatar

Civil war would be be the only option. That would formally scuttle the Constitution, loyalty to which is a fundamental requirement for being a citizen. It would be an act of war against the population, and the military’s duty would be to fight back. Or betray their oath to the Constitution

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

On a national level, what does it matter if Oregon has free and fair elections?

They've already cut out funds for forestry fuel reduction programs. (That's just what I know about.) I heard that a third of the state's budget comes from the Feds. Every penny from the Feds will have ropes tied to it.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

Eight electoral college votes. Every vote counts!

Expand full comment
JesseBesse's avatar

There are demonstrations all over, there have been, and will continue to be. The US is VERY large, we can’t concentrate in one city like in other countries. We are doing what we can, and will continue to do so. Our media has largely been taken over by billionaires and is not really running these stories. https://apnews.com/hub/protests-and-demonstrations

Expand full comment
Terence J. Ollerhead's avatar

They aren't getting the attention of the people in Washington. The demonstrations have to be brought to them; they have to see and feel them. That's why general strikes are effective.

Expand full comment
JesseBesse's avatar

The demonstrators were in Vermont over the weekend bc JD was vacationing there. They definitely got his attention. I saw video of people screaming at him on the slopes. There have also been demonstrations in DC since Trump was elected. Again, the MSM is refusing to run stories about them to suppress their reach. I doubt the Republicans give 2 s***s about the demonstrations. They just shrug them off.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

The GOP might be shrugging it off for now, but they can't ignore us forever. It'll only grow. It might eventually explode.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

Indeed. There's going to one nationwide tomorrow:

https://events.pol-rev.com/tag/50501%203%2F4

Be there or be square!

Expand full comment
sharon f's avatar

Living in a very blue state, I’m watching closely what will happen here. Even so, we have a very active right wing with MAGA money behind it. We also have lots of military, which will be interesting. Several of my civilian neighbors have base jobs. I feel for the service members having to serve under the bizarre new Head of J C. Keep showing up!

Expand full comment
Sun's avatar
Mar 3Edited

States control elections and states will hold mid-terms. If Republican controlled states don’t want to have them, fine. Democratic controlled states will.

Expand full comment
Theodora30's avatar

You are right that state control is no guarantee. Purple NC has a Democrat for governor and Attorney General but our extremist North Carolina legislature and court are still refusing to certify the clear results of the election of Democrat Allison Riggs to the NC Supreme Court.

The loser wants to throw out 65,000 votes of mostly Democrats, black and young people, of course. The excuse is that their voter registrations don’t have their license numbers and/or SS number which were not required until recently. I registered here thirty years ago yet my vote isn’t being challenged but I am old, white and registered as unaffiliated so they can’t tell I vote for Democrats.

Expand full comment
Sun's avatar

Thanks for the NC context.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

Not fine. That would be an act of war.

Expand full comment
Sun's avatar

OK, I see what you mean. I had only been thinking that if they don’t fill their R seats then so much the better for Ds. But you’re right, not fine.

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

I think they may be getting started. It has been a terrible shock. Most people don't know what has happened.

The Democratic party is still acting as if nothing has changed, with a few exceptions. I got a newsletter from one of my Democratic Senators talking about a housing bill he was proposing. I didn't even bother to read it, but e-mailed him back that housing was the least of our trouble now.

I will be on the street marching tomorrow. Something I've never done before. Old women need to take the lead...The Proud Boys will look bad beating up old ladies.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

The Proud Boys are such low life's, I don't think they care how bad they look, any more than the Brown Shirts in 1933.

In case anyone is wondering about what march Sharon is referring to, it's the nationwide march being held by 50501. Be there or be square!:

https://events.pol-rev.com/tag/50501%203%2F4

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

Oh it's coming. Give it a little time. Remember, we're only a month into this coup d'état.

Expand full comment
Vibha Pinglé's avatar

I hope you’re right!

I just saw a news report that Norways oil refuelers are refusing to refuel US naval vessels and demanding that the US not be invited to the G7.

Can EU/UK/Canada boycott/sanction us safely?

Expand full comment
LarryG's avatar

Here's the thing. The US president cannot be trusted. The US Congress/Senate cannot be trusted. The US supreme court cannot be trusted. The best defense is to disengagement and distance and self defense. Europe seriously needs to remove and replace US forces and equipment from the continent as soon as it is practical to do so. The nuclear deterrent will be the tough one... not so easy to replace, for sure command and control needs to be disengaged ASAP.

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

They have the UK and France. It doesn't take a lot of nukes to be a deterrent.

Expand full comment
Vibha Pinglé's avatar

True.

Expand full comment
Judith Auerbach's avatar

As an American. I 'm ashamed and I agree with you LarryG. I talk to friends and relatives and they're going about their day-to-day business blissfully apparently unaware of what's happening to the country. I'm quite distraught. And the Dems don't seem to be doing much. It's the Weimar Republic redux

I'm afraid that with the Europeans it may be just talk.

Expand full comment
LarryG's avatar

As of tomorrow tariffs will begin to bite. Canada will affect countervailing tariffs surgically - they will be chosen to hurt. Your friends and relatives may have a rude awakening. Please remind them that Trump did this, not the Canadians.

Expand full comment
Jeff Luth's avatar

France and GB have their own nuclear forces. Unfortunately, they are tied into Nato and their secrets are now being passed on to Putin by the Republican party leadership.

The GOP is allied we are with the axis of evil and have dragged America down into the fetid swamp of sedition and treason with them.

Expand full comment
Joe Zeigler's avatar

I fear we're done, finished, obsolete. And, yes, after years of observation and thought, I believe trump is a Russian asset.

Expand full comment
Prisoner of Planet Moron's avatar

Like a dying tree, America is still standing. But rotten to the core.

Expand full comment
Joe Zeigler's avatar

Sadly, you are right; I think. Ten years ago, I was proud of my country. Now I am ashamed. For most of my 80 years, I thought we were making progress. I was wrong.

Expand full comment
Cissna, Ken's avatar

I think we were making progress. But it’s been derailed. Temporarily, I hope.

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

You're old. Get out and protest. Even in a wheelchair. Us old people need to lead the protest. We have a lot less to lose.

Expand full comment
Lois Henry's avatar

83 here - maybe progress, just not in the direction we hoped. Regress?

Expand full comment
Pam Birkenfeld's avatar

I’ll tell you what to depressing, I’m 77 and all of the rest of you who feel as strong as I do are at least as old as I. What about the young people? I read Gen Z are going to the right. I know there are some that are not but I need to hear more noise from them. I don’t know, when I was their age I was out marching and protesting and everything else in the 70s. I sound like an old lady standing on the porch screaming at the kids but get with it if you want a country.

Expand full comment
TJB's avatar

Many of us were protesting peacefully in our college campuses last spring, and were beaten and blacklisted from work for it. You're right, we need to pick ourselves up from that defeat and return to the streets, but it is exhausting being in constant protest mode.

Expand full comment
Pam Birkenfeld's avatar

I’m glad you were out there last spring. And yes, we found it exhausting protesting the Vietnam war, it was never ending plus we had the women’s rights movement plus abortion rights at the same time. It never ends. And you don’t know this because you’re young, but there were military out shooting protesters at Kent State during the Vietnam era. But in the end, notice was taken and things changed.

Expand full comment
TJB's avatar

As the adage goes, "history doesn't repeat, but it often rhymes." It is a shame that we're fighting so many of the same battles that your generation split blood for in that era; the time is coming where everyone will need to "look at what's going down."

One aspect in which I'm a bit jealous (is that the right word?) is that the civil rights movement had no shortage of incredible art and inspiring leadership to power people thru such difficult times. Artists like Marvin, Stevie, the Monkees, and so many more gave a voice to this sense of injustice, while leadership like MLK, Hampton, and those at Stonewall pointed us in a new direction. We will need contemporaries who can match that energy!

Expand full comment
Joe Zeigler's avatar

Thomas Jefferson said people get the government they deserve.

Expand full comment
Craig Burkhart's avatar

I agree. Read today's substack article by Heather Cox Richardson.

Expand full comment
Judith Auerbach's avatar

I've read articles that claim that he was recruited as a Russian asset in 1987 and I believe it now

Expand full comment
Tim's avatar

Traitor Trump.

Expand full comment
Anca Vlasopolos's avatar

He betrayed the U.S. on January 6. He betrayed the U.S. by taking classified documents with him to Mar-a-Toilet. The U.S. judiciary failed in its role to stop drumpf, as did the Congress. Betrayals of American citizens by all three branches of a government dominated by rethugs.

Expand full comment
TomD's avatar

Trump's 's a foreign agent. There is no higher crime, nor misdemeanor. Impeach him.

Expand full comment
George Carty's avatar

According to Mitt Romney, Trump only escaped conviction in his second impeachment because MAGA thugs had threatened to take revenge against the families of any GOP Senators that voted to convict.

https://www.msnbc.com/rachel-maddow-show/maddowblog/romney-gop-members-feared-far-right-violence-ahead-key-votes-rcna105272

Expand full comment
TomD's avatar
Mar 3Edited

No doubt. But there also was McConnell's highwire act: Trump did it, but we can't impeach and convict a person who is not currently president.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

What I found especially galling about McConnell was that blustery hypocritical speech he delivered excoriating "Trumps actions" right after voting "not guilty". Is there anyone on Earth phonier than McConnell?

Expand full comment
TomD's avatar

Like I said, a highwire act. He wanted it both ways.

Expand full comment
Pam Birkenfeld's avatar

The people threatening the senators are their very own pack of wolves, which they created! And whatever happened to moral courage in this country. It used to be people would call out threats like that and get other people to join them and defeat the threats. Cowards all.

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

I think that's right. I can't see any other reason why the GOP representatives would be so cowed.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

Or better still, hang him!

Expand full comment
FFortier's avatar

Dear Dr.,

As a Canadian emotionally wounded by our trade war, I am also disappointed by our European allies, who remain silent while we fight this giant, schizophrenic « partner ». I can now envision a near future where our former brothers in arms might begin aiding Russia on the battlefield against us.

It is disconcerting to see that it is mostly older citizens in U.S. town halls rising up against this, while the younger American generation seems to quietly or tacitly accept it.

We are far from Normandy now.

Expand full comment
Denyse Whillier's avatar

What part of yesterday's meeting in London was silent?

Expand full comment
FFortier's avatar

Here’s one quick example from Global News: British Prime Minister Keir Starmer on Thursday declined to weigh in on U.S. President Donald Trump’s repeated calls to make Canada the 51st state,

Expand full comment
Denyse Whillier's avatar

Sometimes you simply ignore what idiots are saying and don't give them the oxygen of attention the crave. Trump and Putin were delivered a very clear and unequivocal message yesterday.

Expand full comment
Will Liley's avatar

It would be a lot clearer if the “Willing” were more specific, for example, that they will cooperate in taking the $200 billion of Russian money now lying in European banks and use it to arm Ukraine; that they will release ALL terms of use of the LR Storm Shadow and SCALP missiles so they can hit inside Russia and hit the bridge; say they will help introduce no-fly zones over western Ukraine. There is a lot Europe can do.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

I suspect that was just calculated to avoid goading Trumpkopf too much. As it is he was really sticking his neck out when he declared the UK will stand by Ukraine with boots on the ground.

I'll bet you that privately, Starmer will stand by Canada, as will the vast majority of Americans!

Expand full comment
Denyse Whillier's avatar

Canada is part of the Commonwealth so we're in an alliance already. It strikes me that there's a delicate balance between being equally muscular - something Trump - actually respects and not goading him into further dysregulated responses. Especially given that Trump's hardly surrounded by people like Mattis, Kelly etc.

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

Young people are very disengaged in politics. Still, I'm not involving my children. I don't have much to lose, I'm old. It also looks bad attacking old people. Grandmothers have been very effective worldwide.

Expand full comment
Bernie Raspberry's avatar

Never mind, what the Cousins (Americans) new norm is, how about the complete absence of our supposed king and his family in standing by us...ZERO!

Staking ourselves to a particular ecosystem, WTF is wrong with supporting our fellow humans to improve their quality and standards of life.

Don't we All win, and we're willing to share this not uniquely Canadian value (except for Pierre Polieve) with every one, without collecting a proprietary finders fee! Please....

Expand full comment
leave my name off's avatar

It's not America 1st--it's Trump 1st--always has been...the other grifters are there because it will be OUR--not HIS--gold being given away to a bunch of crypto grifter/tax evaders.

Expand full comment
Bernie Raspberry's avatar

Like most grifters, it's not what we Can see, it's the Obscured you have to watch out for….

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

As an American, I must say you make a good point here.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

"I can now envision a near future where our former brothers in arms might begin aiding Russia on the battlefield against us."

Over our cold cadavers. No way in hell would we stand by and let that happen.

Expand full comment
Prisoner of Planet Moron's avatar

Paul,

Since Mexico and Canada --- formerly our biggest trading partners and close friends --- are about to undergo severe and unwarranted abuse from the United States, would it make sense for Mexico and Canada to seek a Free Trade agreement with the EU? Tariff-free?

If the United States wants to be all wrapped up in itself, it may discover that makes a mighty small package ...

Expand full comment
Anne H's avatar

Canada has a comprehensive trade agreement with the EU making vast majority of trade tariff free

Actually trust the EU to abide by it. Canada will

Canada can also maintain their agreement with Mexico

https://international.canada.ca/en/global-affairs/services/trade/agreements-negotiations/investment-agreements

Expand full comment
Prisoner of Planet Moron's avatar

Thank you for the clarification. Facts matter. All my best to Canada, Mexico, and the EU. And may the Ukraine soon be an EU member ...

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

I second that. Great handle BTW.

Expand full comment
GH's avatar

Given where the US has gone I don’t know the extent the EU should pivot to China? Just viewing them as anti-West is not as helpful as it once was, not because they have changed but because the US has. If China and the EU believe in free trade and the US doesn’t, then collaborate. If the US has threatening technologies that the EU and China together can challenge, then do so.

A bit sad but Europe can’t keep behaving as if the world hasn’t changed.

Expand full comment
Anca Vlasopolos's avatar

Disastrous for Europe and eventually for the U.S. if the EU is forced to pivot to China. The death of democracy lies that way.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

Be careful what you wish for. Turning to a bully to protect you from another bully doesn't usually work out well.

Expand full comment
Minimal Gravitas's avatar

Why not just be assertive itself instead of sucking up to despots. Screw China.

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

The EU shouldn't pivot anywhere but look to itself. At this point China is no more of a threat than the US. Neither of us should be trusted.

A huge problem is the lure of being King. Xi has succumbed to it and done away with a cadre of advisors, though I think he's more benevolent Putin or Trump/Musk.

Our King is a figurehead and (unless we manage to save ourselves) the fight for the real crown has yet to take place.

Expand full comment
PSBaker's avatar

"The paradox is that 500 million Europeans are asking 300 million Americans for help to protect them from 140 million Russians,"

— Donald Tusk

Expand full comment
Joe Zeigler's avatar

That is how we, the U.S., controlled the world for 80 years.

Expand full comment
George Carty's avatar

NATO of course was formed in a time when the numerical balance was the other way, because the Russian empire stretched all the way to the Elbe.

Expand full comment
Terry Clay's avatar

That overlooks the fact that the USA spent $6 billion destabilising (sorry, promoting democracy) in Ukraine before the 'revolution'.

Expand full comment
Edwin Callahan's avatar

Utter lie.

Expand full comment
Terry Clay's avatar

My comment was made in good faith.

Expand full comment
Edwin Callahan's avatar

It’s not good faith to endorse a blatant lie.

Expand full comment
Terry Clay's avatar

The U.S. did fund democracy programs in Ukraine for years before 2014, focusing on civil society, governance, and election monitoring.

Since Ukraine’s independence in 1991, the total U.S. aid (economic, military, and democracy-related) exceeded $5 billion by 2013. This was confirmed by Victoria Nuland, then U.S. Assistant Secretary of State, in a 2013 speech. However, this was not solely for democracy promotion—it included economic development, anti-corruption efforts, and other initiatives.

Expand full comment
Edwin Callahan's avatar

Hey, I followed the news back then, and I read Nuland’s book. Threatening Putin was not the main purpose of that effort. Preserving Ukraine’s independence was.

Expand full comment
Michael g robinson's avatar

I've followed Krugman for years when he was a columnist for the NYT mainly writing on economic issues and now that he has branched out on political issues and their historical basis. It's great to read the inciteful work of an honest man who knows what he is talking about.

Mike Robinson

Expand full comment
PS's avatar

Thank you. The GOP are enabling this wholesale selling of American to Putin and his oligarchs. I am beyond angry at them for refusing to do their constitutional duty.

Expand full comment
Shauna's avatar

All those ethical and valued Americans still live right there in America ...and their Country is being taken over by a traitor... to Russia. Who I fear will kill trump quickly. Trump IS NO STRONG MAN to be feared....he is dismantling any defence and handing OVER the United States of America to putin. In real time. His reasons are irrelevant. THAT is the future .... and tho I cannot know for sure...but some things you just know, that you know, you can sense it. Unless stopped

Expand full comment
Judith Auerbach's avatar

Sorry. Typo, Shauna

Expand full comment
Judith Auerbach's avatar

I agree with you, Shawna

Expand full comment
Terry Clay's avatar

I expect Trump won't mind US firms selling weapons to Europe, which would facilitate European support to Ukraine.

Expand full comment
Robyn Pender's avatar

Actually, that is the very LAST thing we are going to do. We can’t trust you, you see…

But we have much that we will be able to learn - indeed, have been learning already - from Ukraine. The whole way military budgets have been devoted to overcomplicated and overpriced things like the JSF grew out of the US way of doing things. And if you lose just one, you’ve blown your budget. But it kept some oversized and overpowerful contractors happy…

We would however be grateful for two things from the US:

- that Trump doesn’t feed US money into Putin’s almost empty coffers

- that the military and other intelligence we all shared with you freely (and I’m speaking here as an Australian as well as a European) is not being handed over to Putin. Probably via Musk; I assume that’s what’s really behind his takeover of your systems.

Can we hope for either of those? I am sadly unsure - it will require a few people actually acting on their commitment to the Constitution - and perhaps remembering their friends? Just a little?

I live in the Belgian Ardennes, which some reading this will recall is the graveyard for many, many brave young Americans, slaughtered by the very people Musk and Vought love. If Americans remember their sacrifice- as we most certainly do - they will be out in force in the streets protesting, and NOT politely. You are in the middle of a coup, not a Sunday picnic.

And thank you, dear Paul Krugman, for being such a beacon of not just good sense, but ‘good’. ♥️

Expand full comment
Terry Clay's avatar

Hi Robyn, the use of 'you' and 'your systems' in your reply suggest you believe are addressing an American but I was writing as a British subject and share your reservations.

Expand full comment
Robyn Pender's avatar

’m SO sorry, I DID assume that, Terry! 🙀 I spent 33 years in the UK, and still spend a lot of time working there… as we both know, Putin was also behind Brexit. I wish we could reverse that…

Expand full comment
Sharon's avatar

Assume that those two things will happen. Sorry about that. I assume that most of the free world has quit sharing intelligence as soon as The Ministry of Magic fell to Voldemort.

Expand full comment
Tim's avatar

Terry,

We have been allowing third parties access to weapons and western goods for years. Now we are going to do it directly, I guess. Hegseth has already ordered the US Military to stand down.

==>https://www.wsj.com/world/how-an-fbi-sting-stopped-a-russian-smuggler-but-not-his-hong-kong-supply-route-64be1ad8?utm_source=chatgpt.com

==>https://www.nytimes.com/2024/07/25/technology/russia-sanctions-chips.html

==>https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/02/us/politics/hegseth-cyber-russia-trump-putin.html

Tim

Expand full comment
Terry Clay's avatar

Thanks

Expand full comment
LiverpoolFCfan's avatar

And if he refuses, we'll know for sure it's because Vlad slapped him with a rolled-up newspaper.

Expand full comment
Winston Smith London Oceania's avatar

Only if he can get in on the $action.

Expand full comment
Cissna, Ken's avatar

I hope that’s right

Expand full comment